William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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TRUMP GAINS IN STATES, BUT CLINTON STILL HAS THE EDGE – AT 9:53 A.M. ET:   We'll be concentrating more on state polls as we approach election day.  We vote by state.  The electoral vote decides.  From The Hill:

Several battleground states that were leaning toward Hillary Clinton have shifted in recent days to become toss-ups, a Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project reported Friday.

In Florida and North Carolina, Donald Trump and Clinton are now reportedly tied. The two candidates are also neck-and-neck in Ohio.

In Michigan, Clinton's lead over her Republican rival has decreased, they say, and the state is too close to call.

Still, the States of the Nation project is predicting the Democratic nominee has about a 90 percent chance of winning the 270 electoral votes necessary to secure the presidency.

Last week, it gave the Democratic nominee a 95 percent chance.

In the past week, Trump's support has increased in 24 states and decreased in 11. In comparison, Clinton's support has grown in 13 states and decreased in 22.

The States of the Nation project surveys about 15,000 people every week in all 50 states and Washington, D.C.

COMMENT:  There are a number of indications in the polling of the last few days that Trump's momentum has stalled.  We are looking for a close election, one in which turnout will be all-important.  Who will vote?  Who won't?  Who's enthusiastic?  Who isn't?

Virtually all observers give the edge to Clinton, just as they gave the edge to President Dewey in 1048.

November 4, 2016